Tuesday, November 8, 2016

Your Guide to 2016's Competitive State Legislatures

Looking for a cheat sheet for which state-legislative chambers might flip control tonight—and which seats in them will make the difference? Look no further.

Democratic-Held


Colorado State House

Currently: 34 D, 31 R
Flips If: Republicans gain 2 seats
Competitive Districts: HD-03, HD-17, HD-30, HD-31, HD-33, HD-40, HD-47, HD-59

Iowa State Senate

Currently: 25 D, 23 R, 1 I, 1 V
Flips If: Republicans gain 2 seats (maybe 1, if the GOP-leaning independent sides with them)
Competitive Districts: SD-08, SD-26, SD-28, SD-30, SD-32, SD-34, SD-36, SD-46

Kentucky State House

Currently: 53 D, 46 R, 1 V
Flips If: Republicans gain 4 seats (plus getting a new body into the red vacant seat)
Competitive Districts: HD-03, HD-07, HD-08, HD-10, HD-12, HD-13, HD-14, HD-15,HD-16, HD-20, HD-23, HD-24, HD-33, HD-38, HD-39, HD-46, HD-49, HD-50, HD-62, HD-70, HD-74, HD-78, HD-84, HD-91, HD-92, HD-94, HD-95, HD-99

Maine State House

Currently: 78 D, 69 R, 4 I
Flips If: Republicans gain 7 seats
Competitive Districts: HD-03, HD-04, HD-05, HD-07, HD-09, HD-19, HD-21, HD-25, HD-29, HD-33, HD-44, HD-45, HD-55, HD-64, HD-68, HD-70, HD-91, HD-95, HD-101, HD-106, HD-108, HD-111, HD-113, HD-114, HD-116, HD-118, HD-121, HD-125, HD-126, HD-128, HD-138, HD-139, HD-140, HD-147

Minnesota State Senate

Currently: 38 D, 28 R, 1 V
Flips If: Republicans gain 6 seats
Competitive Districts: SD-01, SD-02, SD-04, SD-14, SD-17, SD-20, SD-21, SD-24, SD-36, SD-37, SD-44, SD-48, SD-53, SD-54, SD-58

New Mexico State Senate

Currently: 24 D, 18 R
Flips If: Republicans gain 3 seats
Competitive Districts: SD-09, SD-10, SD-15, SD-29, SD-36, SD-37, SD-39

Washington State House

Currently: 50 D, 48 R
Flips If: Republicans gain 2 seats
Competitive Districts: LD-19A, LD-28B, LD-30A, LD-30B, LD-31B, LD-44A, LD-45A

Republican-Held


Arizona State Senate

Currently: 18 R, 12 D
Flips If: Democrats gain 4 seats
Competitive Districts: LD-02, LD-06, LD-08, LD-13, LD-18, LD-28

Colorado State Senate

Currently: 18 R, 17 D
Flips If: Democrats gain 1 seat
Competitive Districts: SD-19, SD-25, SD-26, SD-27

Iowa State House

Currently: 57 R, 43 D
Flips If: Democrats gain 8 seats
Competitive Districts: HD-38, HD-43, HD-55, HD-56, HD-57, HD-58, HD-60, HD-68, HD-91, HD-92, HD-95

Maine State Senate

Currently: 20 R, 15 D
Flips If: Democrats gain 3 seats
Competitive Districts: SD-01, SD-02, SD-03, SD-06, SD-07, SD-09, SD-11, SD-12,SD-13, SD-14,SD-16, SD-18, SD-20, SD-21, SD-22, SD-23, SD-25, SD-30, SD-33

Michigan State House

Currently: 62 R, 45 D, 3 V
Flips If: Democrats gain 9 seats (plus 2 of the vacancies where they are heavily favored)
Competitive Districts: HD-23, HD-36, HD-39, HD-52, HD-62, HD-66, HD-71, HD-76, HD-83, HD-91, HD-99, HD-106

Minnesota State House

Currently: 73 R, 61 D
Flips If: Democrats gain 7 seats
Competitive Districts: HD-02A, HD-10B, HD-11B, HD-12A, HD-14A, HD-14B, HD-17B, HD-21A,HD-24B, HD-25B, HD-27A, HD-28B, HD-36B, HD-42B, HD-44A, HD-48A, HD-49B, HD-50B, HD-52B, HD-56B, HD-57A

Nevada State Senate

Currently: 11 R, 10 D
Flips If: Democrats gain 1 seat
Competitive Districts: SD-05, SD-06, SD-15, SD-18

Nevada State Assembly

Currently: 24 R, 17 D, 1 L
Flips If: Democrats gain 5 seats
Competitive Districts: AD-01, AD-06, AD-08, AD-09, AD-10, AD-15, AD-21, AD-25, AD-29, AD-34, AD-35, AD-41

New Hampshire State Senate

Currently: 13 R, 10 D, 1 V
Flips If: Democrats gain 3 seats
Competitive Districts: SD-02, SD-06, SD-08, SD-09, SD-12, SD-16, SD-23

New Hampshire State House

Currently: 230 R, 157 D, 1 L, 12 V
Flips If: Democrats gain 44 seats
Competitive Districts: Too many to list!

New Mexico State House

Currently: 37 R, 33 D
Flips If: Democrats gain 3 seats
Competitive Districts: HD-04, HD-07, HD-15, HD-23, HD-24, HD-30, HD-32, HD-36, HD-37, HD-39, HD-43

New York State Senate

Currently: 31 R, 25 D, 6 IDC, 1 V
Flips If: Democrats gain 7 seats (or gain 1 and make a deal with the IDC)
Competitive Districts: SD-05, SD-06, SD-07, SD-08, SD-09, SD-37, SD-39, SD-40, SD-41, SD-46, SD-60

Washington State Senate

Currently: 26 R, 23 D
Flips If: Democrats gain 2 seats
Competitive Districts: LD-05, LD-17, LD-25, LD-28, LD-41

West Virginia State Senate

Currently: 18 R, 16 D
Flips If: Democrats gain 2 seats
Competitive Districts: SD-02, SD-04, SD-06, SD-08, SD-09, SD-11, SD-14, SD-16, SD-17

Wisconsin State Senate

Currently: 18 R, 14 D, 1 V
Flips If: Democrats gain 3 seats
Competitive Districts: SD-10, SD-12, SD-14, SD-18, SD-24, SD-30, SD-32

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